Hello again, fanatics and welcome to Week 11 of this column. I got back on track this past week and am now sitting at 9-1 going into this week. I was losing going into Monday night but I still had NcCoy, Akers and the Philly D I won by 12 points.
Let’s look at this week’s games:
Carson Palmer hosts Buffalo this weekend. This is a quality matchup against the Bills who have allowed opposing QBs 18 TDs this year. Palmer should have a great day here along with former Bill, Terrell Owens.
Shaun Hill is in Dallas this week and the Cowboys pass defense has allowed 14 QB TDs in the past 4 games. Six QBs have thrown for multiple TDs against Dallas and Hill should do fine in this matchup. With Kitna back on track as well, this should be a high scoring affair.
Speaking of Kitna he is hosting Detroit this week and is coming off his best game in two years. The entire team responded to Jason Garrett being promoted to head coach and the Bows can only hope this continues. The Lions have allowed 9 TDs on the road this season.
David Garrard takes on Cleveland at home this weekend, Coming off a nice outing last week vs. Houston, Garrard has 13 TDs in his last 4 games culminating in last weeks 2 TD 327 yd passing effort. His wide receivers and tight ends are responding to him and I don’t see a slowdown here vs. the Browns. He’s past the point of being a BYE week replacement and should be in your lineup.
Mark Sanchez will host Houston this weekend. He had a rough time getting overtime wins against both Detroit and Cleveland. Houston should be a different story as they are dead last vs. the pass this year. Houston has allowed 22 TDs and an average of 301 yds per game in the air this year. Sanchez should be a starting option this week.
Vince Young is hosting Washington this weekend. With the BYE weeks over, there probably would not be a reason to start Young, however, coming off of a game where Michael Vick tore them apart, the Redskins could still be reeling. Since this is a road game for Washington, I’d recommend Young here as a sleeper with a lot of upside potential.
I do not recommend Brett Favre vs. Green Bay, Mat Schaub at New York Jets, Ryan Fitzpatrick at Cincinnati, or Donovan McNabb at Tennessee
Cedric Benson vs. Buffalo is on his last chance here. In spite of his struggles, this is a good matchup. The Bills are close to last in the league at defending the run having allowed 9 TDs and an average of 167 yds per game. Benson has put up good numbers at home averaging almost 100 yds per game. Again, this is his last chance to make good before he sits.
BenJarvis Green-Ellis is facing Indianapolis at home this week and he’s coming off a most impressive game against Pittsburgh last week where he totaled 123 yds. 87 on the ground and 4 catches for another 36. The Colts have allowed for good running games against them and BJGE should have a good outing here as he is the main running focus being occasionally spelled by Danny Woodhead.
Felix Jones is hosting Detroit this weekend and he had his best game of the season last week against the stingy Giants defense. He ran for 51 yds and caught 3 passes for 85 yds. It looks like the Cowboys have found a way to get Jones involved. He’s worth a start here.
Mike Tolbert is hosting Denver this weekend. Ryan Mathews is dealing with an ankle injury so Tolbert will get the majority of the carries for the Chargers. The Broncos have allowed 14 rushing TDs this year and are last in defending the run. Tolbert should do well but keep an eye on the injury report to ensure the status of Mathews.
Shonn Greene hosts Houston this weekend and he’s coming off of a 20 carry performance. He could have a strong 2nd half this season and this game as one of the focal defenders for the Texans running game is out with an Achilles issue. Both Greene and LaDanian Tomlinson should have good games vs. this Texas team.
I do not recommend Michael Bush at Pittsburgh, Marshawn Lynch at New Orleans, Mike Goodson at Baltimore, Beanie Wells at Kansas City, Jahvid best at Dallas or Lagarrette Blount at San Francisco.
Michael Crabtree hosts Tampa Bay this weekend and it looks like he’s finally arrived. He has a TD in four of his last five games and he seems to be on the same page as new QB Troy Smith. In the last two games, Crabtree has 7 catches for 114 yds and 2 TDs. The Bucs are terrible vs. the pass so Crabtree should be good to go here.
Mario Manningham is at Philadelphia this weekend and he seems to have stepped in for the injured Steve Smith. Against Dallas last week, he had 10 catches for 91 yds and 1 TD. He was targeted 16 times in that game. With Hakeem Nicks being double teamed, Manningham should thrive in this contest.
Santonio Holmes is home vs. Houston this weekend. With Cotchery out and Edwards in double coverage, Mark Sanchez has been finding Holmes. In the past two games, Holmes has 10 catches for 190 yds and 1 TD. With the Texans struggles on defending the pass, Holmes should have a good day here.
Nate Burleson is at Dallas this weekend and the Cowboys have allowed 14 TDs to wide receivers. Dallas has also struggled vs. secondary wide outs and Burleson fits that bill. Calvin Johnson will still dominate but it should come as no surprise that Detroit will seek out Burleson during this contest.
Nate Washington is hosting Washington this weekend and Tennessee now has Moss so Nate should do well here vs. Washington. The secondary had their hands full with Jackson, Maclin and Avant last week and this should also benefit Washington. He should be in your lineup as a 2nd receiver
I do not recommend Lance Moore vs. Seattle, Santana Moss at Tennessee, Wes Welker vs. Indianapolis, Mike Williams at New Orleans, or Andre Johnson at new York Jets.
Dustin Keller hosting Houston has a chance to rebound from a miserable 5 weeks where he has not been able to find the end zone. Cotchery being out should help Keller and the Texans have been weak agaist tight ends this year. Last year, Keller had 4 catches for 94 yds so hopefully, he can get back on track in this game.
Todd Heap is at Carolina this weekend and the pathers have been falling apart on all levels of defense. Five tight ends have scored in the last 5 weeks. Heap is coing off a game where he had 4 catches for 57 yds and 1 TD. I expect the same kind of game here.
Jermaine Gresham hosts Buffalo this weekend. He’s coming off his best game of the season where he had 9 catches for 85 yds and 1 TD. The Bills are allowing too many TDs to the tight end position and I like Cincinnati to win and Gresham to thrive in this contest.
I do not recommend Brent Celek vs. New York Giants, Joel Dressen at New York Jets, or Tony Gonzalez at St Louis.
DEFENSE / SPECIAL TEAMS
I like New Orleans vs. Seattle.
Tennessee vs. Washington.
Kansas City vs. Arizona
Baltimore at Carolina.
I do not recommend Minnesota vs. Green Bay.
I like Ryan Succop vs. Arizona
Billy Cundiff at Carolina
Josh Scobee vs. Cleveland
Matt Bryant at St Louis
I do not recommend Neil Rackers at new York Jets
That’s all for this week, fans. Last night in the Chicago at Miami game, the Bears shut out the Dolphins 16-0. Due to time constraints, I won’t be including the Thursday game in this column. I do recommend that everyone pay attention to the lineup changes needed and to get their lineups in early.