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The Fantasy Football Fanatic: Dan "Snake" Watson

 

Across_the_field Hello again, Fantasy Football Fans and welcome to Week 10. Well it finally happened; I lost last week and my record is now 8-1. I hope to get back on track so that my league doesn't begin razzing me!  (Having Roddy White was a step in the right direction).

Let’s look at this week’s games:

QUARTERBACKS

Ben Roethlisberger plays host to New England this week and although he’s struggled in his last two games against New Orleans and Cincinnati, he should recover here and have a good game. The Patriots have allowed 5 QBs to pass for multiple TDs this year and 3 of those QBs reached 300 yds. The Pats are 29th vs. the pass and Big Ben has 7 TDs and 1 interception in his past 4 meetings with New England.

Kyle Orton hosts Kansas City this weekend and Denver is coming off the BYE and is well rested. Orton has attempted at least 35 passes in 5 of the games this year as the run is often abandoned early for the Broncos. In the 2 games last year vs the Chiefs, Orton threw for 611 yds and 3 TDs.

David Garrard hosts Houston this weekend. In his past 3 games Garrard

has 11 TDs and 4 interceptions. The Texans are dead last in defending the pass. They have allowed every QB they’ve faced to throw for multiple TDs except McNabb in week 2 He only had 1 TD but passed for 426 yds. Currently, Garrard is hot and I recommend him as a starter this week.

Vince Young is at Miami this weekend and he now has Randy Moss on his side of the ball. Moss historically starts out with a very big first game and this should be no different. Miami has only 5 take aways all season and Young has not thrown an interception in his last 5 starts.

Shaun Hill is at Buffalo this weekend and he is facing a secondary that has only one interception all year. The pass defense has given up multiple TDs to 6 QBs. Hill is back from a broken left forearm and will replace Matthew Stafford who been lost for the remainder of the season. Expect Hill to have a good game here.

I do not recommend Brett Favre at Chicago, Carson Palmer at Indianapolis, Matt Cassel at Denver, Jay Cutler vs. Minnesota Donovan McNabb vs. Philadelphia, Tom Brady at Pittsburgh. Favre may be a bit too distracted to spend any more time in the limelight for awhile!

RUNNING BACKS

LaGarrette Blount hosts Carolina this weekend. Blount has taken over the starting duties as the Tampa Bay RB and this week he has an excellent matchup against the Panthers. Carolina has allowed 5 rushing TDs to RBs this year and they are 26th defending the run giving up an average of 125 yds per game. Blount should thrive in this contest.

Brandon Jacobs host Dallas this week. Jacobs is back to his secondary role spelling lead runner Ahmad Bradshaw and being featured in goal line situations. Jacobs has 5 TDs in his past 4 games. In week 7 at Dallas he finished with 12 carries for 75 yds and 1 TD. He’s averaged 1 TD per ame in his last 4 vs. the Cowboys. Dallas is falling apart and they have allowed a running back to score or reach 100 yds in each of the last 7 games. My heart is breaking.

Jahvid Best travels to Buffalo this weekend and since the Bills have the worst record vs. the run, Best should get back on track. While dealing with a nagging turf  has kept the Detroit RB out of the end zone since week 2, he’s still finding a way to be productive having rushed for at least 70 yds in 4 of his past 5 games.  Also, Kevin Smith could be considered a sleeper as well as Buffalo’s Fred Jackson. Either would be a great BYE week replacement this week.

Thomas Jones is hosting Denver this week. Jones struggled in Oakland last weekend with 19 carries for only 32 yds but the Broncos are not nearly as stout against the run. Denver leads the league in rushing TDs allowed and I like both Jones and Jamaal Charles to have big games here. Jones has been splitting carries pretty equally with Charles 77 to 63 and it’s clear that the Chiefs like this mix. Expect a solid outing from Jones in this contest.

Tim Hightower is hosting Seattle this week and there’s a good chance the Beanie Wells will miss some extended time with his knee acting up. That coupled with the fact that the Seahawks have fallen apart vs. the run should put Hightower in line for a big day.  For the season, Seattle has given up 9 TDs to opposing RBs and Big Tim should take advantage of this mismatch.

I do not recommend BenJarvis Green-Ellis at Pittsburgh, Felix Jones at New York Giants, Ricky Williams vs. Tennessee Matt Forte vs. Minnesota, Or Shonn Greene at Cleveland.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Dez Bryant visits New York this weekend and the Giants should have their hands full as Bryant has become Jon Kitna’s favorite target. In the past 4 games he has 22 catches for 255 yds and 4 TDs and he should be started in your league. Keep in mind that if the Giants focus on Bryant, that could open things up for Miles Austin who has become the forgotten man of late. Dallas is having their problems running the ball this year so look for plenty of targets as the Giants have fared better stopping the run.

Randy Moss is in Miami this weekend. Historically, Moss’ debut game for a team is a shining moment for the big receiver. In the debut games, Randy has 22 catches, 489 yds and 5 TDs. He’s always caused problems for the Dolphins with 5 TDs in 4 meetings and Miami has struggled with receivers this year.

Mike Sims-Walker hosts Houston this weekend and it seems as though he’s back and producing like he did last year. He’s scored in 3 of the past 4 outings and the Texans are awful vs. the receiving game. Garrard who is also a recommendation for the Jaguars is having a good November and Sims-Walker is the main recipient of this resurgence. He needs to be in your lineup this weekend.

Santonio Holmes is at Cleveland this weekend and when with the Steelers and as far back as his college years at Ohio State, Holmes has had quite a bit of success in Ohio. With the Steelers, Holmes had 18 catches for 375 yds and 2 TDs. Also, he’s coming off his best game of the year vs. Detroit last week. To a lesser extent, I also like Braylon Edwards in this contest.

Pierre Garcon hosts Cincinnati this week and with Austin Collie out with a concussion, Mzanning should use Garcon vs. the Bengals a bit more than last week vs. Philly. Cincinnati is also minus their pass rusher and this should give Manning a lot more time to consider his options. Garcon should have a breakout game this week.

I do not recommend Chad Ochocinco at Indianapolis, Santana Moss vs, Philadelphia, Steve Smith at Tampa Bay, Wes Welker at Pittsburgh, or Brandon Mrshall vs. Tennessee

 TIGHT ENDS

Brandon Pettigrew is at Buffalo this week and this is a dream match up. The Bills have given up the most TDs to the TE position this year and Pettigrew should thrive with the switch from Matt Stafford to Shaun Hill. In 5 starts with Hill, Pettigrew had 32 catches for 330 yds and 1 TD. With Hill back under center, you need to have Pettigrew in your lineup.

Mercedes Lewis is hosting Houston. Like Garrard and Sims-Walker, Lewis should be in your lineup as the Texans are awful vs. the receing game. Last week, Randy acMichael was a fill in for Antonio Gates of San Diego and Randy ended up with 2 TDs vs, Houaton so Lewis should thrive here.

Chris Cooley is hosting Philadelphia this weekend and the Eagles have allowed 5 TDs to the TE position this year. The often overlooked Cooley had 5 catches for 37 yds a 1 TD vs. Philly in their earlier meeting and he should have at least the same stats as he had in Week 4 in Philly. Last week, in a losing effort, Jacob Tamme had 11 catches for 107 yds and a TD. Cooley is not as consistent at this position but he should be good to go here.

I do not recommend Benjamin Watson vs. New York Jets, Brent Celek at Washington, Greg Olsen vs. Minnesota. 

DEFENSE / SPECIAL TEAMSPoor_referee

I recommend Tampa Bay vs. Carolina

Philadelphia at Washington

Arizona vs. Seattle

St. Louis at San Francisco

I do not recommend New England at Pittsburgh. 

PLACE KICKERS

Lawrence Tynes vs. Dallas

Conner Brth at Carolina

Josh Scobee vs. Houston

Jay Feeley vs. Seattle

 

I do not recommend

Ran Longwell at Chicago

 Player_runs

That’s all for this week, fans. Last night Atlanta took care of Baltimore at home in a 26-21 victory. Due to time constraints, I won’t be including the Thursday game in this column. I do recommend that everyone pay attention to the lineup changes needed and to get their lineups in early.

 Thanks!

Dan “Snake” Watson

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